Tag Archives: Kunlun Energy 135

Xiongan New Zone Hong Kong Stock Weekly Wrap

As mentioned in an earlier post,  at least 14 Hong Kong listed stocks showed a one day ramp up after the surprise announcement last weekend of a new economic zone, the Xiongan New Zone.

Xiongan New Area

Buoyed by the belief that this triangular area will be the next Shenzhen, at least 14 stocks moved sharply upwards on Monday in Hong Kong, following the weekend announcement.

For the week, 5 of the 14 stocks had a weekly change which resulted in a lower weekly move than that on the first day, indicating some rethinking of the over the top optimism on the relatively vague news.

econ zone upd1

econ zone upd2

The stellar performer was building materials and property owner and manager, BBMG 2009 HK.   The move on this large-cap,  industrial and real estate company was so unexpected that the company itself warned investors to be rational.   In the same announcement, it admitted to supplying about 60% of the cement output for the designated region.  Citi picked it as a winner in the new zone,  Credit Suisse raised it to Outperform, with a target price of 5.8hkd to 6.4 hkd, while Morgan Stanley removed it from its focus list, dropped it to Underweight, stating that cement regional sales would increase about 8%/year, giving the most benefits to Jidong Cement.  As I wrote here, BBMG’s financials and recent asset, liability and workforce increases make its future performance unpredictable.

The other big weekly movers, with the exception of Steel stock China Oriental, 581 hk, would need to show major financial improvement in the first quarter of 2017 since annual results showed either minimal revenue or operating net profit before taxes growth.

Tianjun Jinrun 1265

As shown above, Tianjin Jinrun, 1265 hk, utility company actually had a decline in revenues and a minimal increase in net profit.  Thanks to the weekly move, its now at a lofty 31.39 trailing p/e despite its 2016 revenue drop.
Tianjin Cap 1065.PNG

While sewage treatment utility company Tianjin Capital, 1065 hk, showed a substantial net profit growth of 36% in 2016, its revenue only increased by a little over 1%, indicating that other, non-core and more volatile items contributed to the increase.

Beijing N Star 588

Despite the real estate company’s Beijing N Star 588 hk, revenue increase of 37%, its gross profit increased by only 2.4%% and its net profit actually dropped by 6.8%. It’s doubtful that the first quarter will show much improvement, which could result in an immediate drop in the stock price after the first quarter’s earnings release.

China Oriental 581

The steel company China Oriental, 581 hk, had an impressive increase in net profit from 2015, which followed through with an increase in gross profit in terms of dollars and margins while operating income went from a loss to a profit.  While its trailing p/e is only 9.39, the stock has increased by 124% over the past year.

Kunlun Energy 135

Natural gas-related utility Kunlun Energy, 135 hk, although increasing over 10% last week to reflect a trailing p/e of 97, would need significant positive impact from the new area to justify its latest rise.

(All annual performance numbers taken from hk filngs.)

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Hong Kong Stocks Fly After the New Economic Zone is Announced

What’s in a Name?  If it’s got Beijing or Tianjin in it, a record breaking one day rise on Monday.

ezone table 1

Econ Zone Table Movers2

Large cap, small cap, these are the stocks which the market projected to gain from the newly-announced Xiong’an New Area, which has been heralded as the New Shenzhen. The area is to include the already robust areas of Beijing and Tianjin, while broadening to encompass the rust belt of Hebei province.   Not all the stocks had those names, but they were dominant in the movers. There is skepticism as to what this will really entail, Per a Reuters article.

In a strategy note, NSBO Research said it would be difficult for policymakers to replicate the boom of Shenzhen in Xiongan in the current environment of a slowing economy, but rather it would create another political center.

“It is essentially a greenfield site, with very little in the way of existing manufacturing expertise and no nearby financial centers to call upon,”, said Rafael Halpin, head of research at NSBO.

Nevertheless, the over-exuberance can be seen in the following charts. (The last close was for 4/3/2017 – the Hong Kong stock market was closed on 4/4/2017 for the Ching Ming Festival;  Shanghai and Shenzhen were closed on 4/3/2017 as well as 4/4/2017 so haven’t reflected the good news.)

ezone bbmg 2009

ezone china national building mat 3323

ezone china suntien 956

ezone tianjin dev 882.PNG

ezone Tianjin Jinrun Public Utilities 1265.PNG

ezone tianjin port 3382

ezone china oriental 581.PNG

 

ezone beijing oriental 581

ezone beijing n star 588

ezone capital land 2868.PNG

ezone beijing ent 392 final

ezone beijing urban construction 1599

ezone kunlun energy 135

Whether the rise will be justified remains to be seen.  However, the impact from a political announcement was substantial.