Tingyi Profit Plunges: Worst in Class

Tingyi Profit

Noodles and beverage seller Tingyi, 322 hk, reported a whopping 67% decline in net profit for the 1st half of 2016.  Other consumer food and beverage companies posted declines but none as extreme as Tingyi and the 2nd quarter looked even worse.

Tingyi 1st half 2nd q

Tingyi blamed the decline on overall China weakness and severe flooding.  Tingyi was expected to benefit from Shanghai Disney’s opening in June thanks to its exclusive Pepsi relationship there.  Since the opening was mid June, it’s too soon to know the impact.  However, it would take an enormous contribution to reverse the declining trends in revenue and profits from its beverage division.

Other companies concentrated in China and Hong Kong beverages and foods have seen drops in revenue and profit, but nothing as severe as Tingyi.  Swire Pacific,19 HK, with Coke manufacturing facilities in China, Hong Kong and Taiwan showed a profit decline in these areas of 14% with a combined profit decline of 37%.  As seen below, mainland China was the hardest hit.  Swire doesn’t see a turnaround in that market in the near future.

Tingyi Swire Pac 1st half

While Swire shared a major decline in beverages, Want Want, 151 HK and  Uni-President 220, hk were much less hard hit. Despite the drop in revenue in beverages, Want Want eked out a profit increase thanks to lower input costs.  90% of Want Want’s beverage business is from “Hot Kid Milk”, which had a 17% revenue decline but was helped by a decline in powdered milk.  The company stated that besides market weakness, consumers were switching to options such as room temperature yogurt drinks.

Tingyi Want Want 1st Half

Tingyi Uni Pres

Uni-President saw  a much lower decline in revenues from beverages than Tingyi and also managed a profit increase in that segment.  In total contrast to Tingyi, its noodle sales saw a revenue and profit increase.

While China consumer food and beverage stocks are reflecting demand weakness, Tingyi’s latest earnings show a much greater decline than the market warrants.  Although the stock performance has reflected this, the downward trends are flashing a strong warning sign.  Tingyi management needs to change its direction quickly.

Tingyi Stock

 

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